400 Million Nigerians by 2050? Scottish Indepdence by 2050? North Korea Missile Test by 2022?
Michael Hilliard on Afghanistan, Donbass, Beijing Olympics, and The Red Line Podcast
Will Scotland Hold an Independence Referendum by 2024? Plus EU Borrowing and Yemen Civil War
Tom Liptay and Michael Story on Co-Founding Maby & Forecasting Adoption
How Tom Liptay Beat the Experts in Pandemic Forecasting
Forecasting the Future of the Russo-Ukrainian War, Saudi-Israeli Relations, and JCPOA
Sources of Forecasting Error, Peru's Next President, and War in Donbass | GGWP 10
Will Intense Fighting Resume in the Russo-Ukrainian War by October?
Will Conflict Break Out Between Russia and Ukraine? | GGWP 9
How David Manheim Forecasted COVID-19 Vaccines | The Right Side of Maybe
🎣 Recast Edition: 2022 Olympic Boycott, North Korea ICBM Test, COVID-19 Origins
GGWP 8 w/ Pavel Atanasov: Good Judgement Project, Markets vs Polls, Machine Forecasting
How Peter Hurford Forecasted the Ever Given Crisis and Profited on Polymarket
China Special: 2022 Olympic Boycott, Closing Uyghur Camps, Next Person on Moon
GGWP 7 with Regina Joseph and Pavel Atanasov: Human vs Machine Forecasting
How We Planned to Forecast the Suez Canal Crisis
GG Weekly Podcast Ep. 6: Behind The Scenes of Rootclaim with Founder Saar Wilf
Special Volume: Updating and Reviewing our 15+ Prior Forecasts
Episode 5: US-China Summit, Books on Forecasting and Geopolitics, What’s Next for GG
Predicting the Origins of SARS-CoV-2 and the Future of the Yemen Civil War
Episode 4 with AR Global Security: The Future of Statehood and Hybrid Warfare
Will US Troops Stay in Afghanistan + Exit from the Eurozone by 2025?
GG Weekly Podcast Ep. 3: Metaculus Scoring Drama, Trouble in Myanmar, Discovering Rootclaim
Will North Korea Test an ICBM in 2021? + The Future of Europe's Vaccination Effort
GG Weekly Podcast Ep. 2: US' Middle East Week, Geopolitical Alpha, Live Metaculus Forecast
Once Wrong, Now Right: Prediction on Niger's Next President
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia Normalize Relations Before 2022? + Starlink and Nuclear Deal
"Quantified forecasting enables me to test whether the way I think about the world is actually accurate."
Iran Deal Likely Dead Until 2022, Major Wars of the 2020s + Virus Variants Revisited
Will COVID Variants Dominate? And the Likelihood of WW3 and Nuclear Warfare
Correct Predictions, Correct Method? COVID Variants Spread Globally and de Sousa Wins in Portugal
President of Portugal Nearly Certain for Re-Election This Week Unless COVID Kills Him. Literally.
A Conversation with Superforecaster Regina Joseph on the Past, Present, and Future of Forecasting
After closer than expected result, Niger heads to second round vote for President
Live Update: Where have the Mutated COVID-19 Variants Spread?
In First Peaceful Transfer of Power, Bazoum is Highly Favored to Become President of Niger
We Examined the U.K.'s Flight Data to Predict Where The Mutant COVID Strain Likely Went
From Predictions to Precepts: Global Guessing's Top 5 Books From 2020
Ghana Election 2020: Violence and Disruption Follows a Close, Contested Vote
In 93,316 out of 100,000 simulations, President Akufo-Addo of Ghana was re-elected in General Election
What happened in Burkina Faso's 2020 General Election
Roch Kabore Predicted to Remain President of Burkina Faso