400 Million Nigerians by 2050? Scottish Indepdence by 2050? North Korea Missile Test by 2022?

400 Million Nigerians by 2050? Scottish Indepdence by 2050? North Korea Missile Test by 2022?

Michael Hilliard on Afghanistan, Donbass, Beijing Olympics, and The Red Line Podcast

Michael Hilliard on Afghanistan, Donbass, Beijing Olympics, and The Red Line Podcast

Will Scotland Hold an Independence Referendum by 2024? Plus EU Borrowing and Yemen Civil War

Will Scotland Hold an Independence Referendum by 2024? Plus EU Borrowing and Yemen Civil War

Tom Liptay and Michael Story on Co-Founding Maby & Forecasting Adoption

Tom Liptay and Michael Story on Co-Founding Maby & Forecasting Adoption

How Tom Liptay Beat the Experts in Pandemic Forecasting

How Tom Liptay Beat the Experts in Pandemic Forecasting

Forecasting the Future of the Russo-Ukrainian War, Saudi-Israeli Relations, and JCPOA

Forecasting the Future of the Russo-Ukrainian War, Saudi-Israeli Relations, and JCPOA

Sources of Forecasting Error, Peru's Next President, and War in Donbass | GGWP 10

Sources of Forecasting Error, Peru's Next President, and War in Donbass | GGWP 10

Will Intense Fighting Resume in the Russo-Ukrainian War by October?

Will Intense Fighting Resume in the Russo-Ukrainian War by October?

Will Conflict Break Out Between Russia and Ukraine? | GGWP 9

Will Conflict Break Out Between Russia and Ukraine? | GGWP 9

How David Manheim Forecasted COVID-19 Vaccines | The Right Side of Maybe

How David Manheim Forecasted COVID-19 Vaccines | The Right Side of Maybe

🎣 Recast Edition: 2022 Olympic Boycott, North Korea ICBM Test, COVID-19 Origins

🎣 Recast Edition: 2022 Olympic Boycott, North Korea ICBM Test, COVID-19 Origins

GGWP 8 w/ Pavel Atanasov: Good Judgement Project, Markets vs Polls, Machine Forecasting

GGWP 8 w/ Pavel Atanasov: Good Judgement Project, Markets vs Polls, Machine Forecasting

How Peter Hurford Forecasted the Ever Given Crisis and Profited on Polymarket

How Peter Hurford Forecasted the Ever Given Crisis and Profited on Polymarket

China Special: 2022 Olympic Boycott, Closing Uyghur Camps, Next Person on Moon

China Special: 2022 Olympic Boycott, Closing Uyghur Camps, Next Person on Moon

GGWP 7 with Regina Joseph and Pavel Atanasov: Human vs Machine Forecasting

GGWP 7 with Regina Joseph and Pavel Atanasov: Human vs Machine Forecasting

How We Planned to Forecast the Suez Canal Crisis

How We Planned to Forecast the Suez Canal Crisis

GG Weekly Podcast Ep. 6: Behind The Scenes of Rootclaim with Founder Saar Wilf

GG Weekly Podcast Ep. 6: Behind The Scenes of Rootclaim with Founder Saar Wilf

Special Volume: Updating and Reviewing our 15+ Prior Forecasts

Special Volume: Updating and Reviewing our 15+ Prior Forecasts

Episode 5: US-China Summit, Books on Forecasting and Geopolitics, What’s Next for GG

Episode 5: US-China Summit, Books on Forecasting and Geopolitics, What’s Next for GG

Predicting the Origins of SARS-CoV-2 and the Future of the Yemen Civil War

Predicting the Origins of SARS-CoV-2 and the Future of the Yemen Civil War

Episode 4 with AR Global Security: The Future of Statehood and Hybrid Warfare

Episode 4 with AR Global Security: The Future of Statehood and Hybrid Warfare

Will US Troops Stay in Afghanistan + Exit from the Eurozone by 2025?

Will US Troops Stay in Afghanistan + Exit from the Eurozone by 2025?

GG Weekly Podcast Ep. 3: Metaculus Scoring Drama, Trouble in Myanmar, Discovering Rootclaim

GG Weekly Podcast Ep. 3: Metaculus Scoring Drama, Trouble in Myanmar, Discovering Rootclaim

Will North Korea Test an ICBM in 2021? + The Future of Europe's Vaccination Effort

Will North Korea Test an ICBM in 2021? + The Future of Europe's Vaccination Effort

GG Weekly Podcast Ep. 2: US' Middle East Week, Geopolitical Alpha, Live Metaculus Forecast

GG Weekly Podcast Ep. 2: US' Middle East Week, Geopolitical Alpha, Live Metaculus Forecast

Once Wrong, Now Right: Prediction on Niger's Next President

Once Wrong, Now Right: Prediction on Niger's Next President

Will Israel and Saudi Arabia Normalize Relations Before 2022? + Starlink and Nuclear Deal

Will Israel and Saudi Arabia Normalize Relations Before 2022? + Starlink and Nuclear Deal

"Quantified forecasting enables me to test whether the way I think about the world is actually accurate."

"Quantified forecasting enables me to test whether the way I think about the world is actually accurate."

Iran Deal Likely Dead Until 2022, Major Wars of the 2020s + Virus Variants Revisited

Iran Deal Likely Dead Until 2022, Major Wars of the 2020s + Virus Variants Revisited

Will COVID Variants Dominate? And the Likelihood of WW3 and Nuclear Warfare

Will COVID Variants Dominate? And the Likelihood of WW3 and Nuclear Warfare

Correct Predictions, Correct Method? COVID Variants Spread Globally and de Sousa Wins in Portugal

Correct Predictions, Correct Method? COVID Variants Spread Globally and de Sousa Wins in Portugal

President of Portugal Nearly Certain for Re-Election This Week Unless COVID Kills Him. Literally.

President of Portugal Nearly Certain for Re-Election This Week Unless COVID Kills Him. Literally.

A Conversation with Superforecaster Regina Joseph on the Past, Present, and Future of Forecasting

A Conversation with Superforecaster Regina Joseph on the Past, Present, and Future of Forecasting

After closer than expected result, Niger heads to second round vote for President

After closer than expected result, Niger heads to second round vote for President

Live Update: Where have the Mutated COVID-19 Variants Spread?

Live Update: Where have the Mutated COVID-19 Variants Spread?

In First Peaceful Transfer of Power, Bazoum is Highly Favored to Become President of Niger

In First Peaceful Transfer of Power, Bazoum is Highly Favored to Become President of Niger

We Examined the U.K.'s Flight Data to Predict Where The Mutant COVID Strain Likely Went

We Examined the U.K.'s Flight Data to Predict Where The Mutant COVID Strain Likely Went

From Predictions to Precepts: Global Guessing's Top 5 Books From 2020

From Predictions to Precepts: Global Guessing's Top 5 Books From 2020

Ghana Election 2020: Violence and Disruption Follows a Close, Contested Vote

Ghana Election 2020: Violence and Disruption Follows a Close, Contested Vote

In 93,316 out of 100,000 simulations, President Akufo-Addo of Ghana was re-elected in General Election

In 93,316 out of 100,000 simulations, President Akufo-Addo of Ghana was re-elected in General Election

What happened in Burkina Faso's 2020 General Election

What happened in Burkina Faso's 2020 General Election

Roch Kabore Predicted to Remain President of Burkina Faso

Roch Kabore Predicted to Remain President of Burkina Faso