🎙️ Forecasting the Omicron Variant with Juan Cambeiro
A Year of Global Guessing: The GGWP Finale
Manas Chawla on Forecast Accuracy in the Geopolitical Risk Industry
David McCullough on Forecasting Adoption and Question Quality
David Manheim on Pandemic Preparedness and Vaccine Challenge Trials
On the Wrong Side of Maybe with the Iran Nuclear Deal
John Fowler on International Intrigue and the limits of Forecasting
✅ Juan Cambeiro, the Top Pandemic Forecaster on Good Judgement Open
Ville Satopää and Marat Salikhov on the BIN Model of Forecasting
Updates and Recasts: Iran Nuclear Deal, Russo-Ukrainian War, Israel-Gaza Conflict, and More
✅ Datscilly, the Top-Ranked Forecaster on Metaculus
Live Forecast Updates: The Future of the 2021 Israel-Palestine Conflict
Phillip Orchard on Geopolitical Futures, US-China Competition, and Forecasting Methods
✅ How Superforecaster Carolyn Meinel Predicted the 2001 Code Red Worm Attack
Updates and Recasts: From Israel-Palestine to Lab Leak and Everything in-Between
Gaia Dempsey on Metaculus, the Future of Forecasting, and Entrepreneurship
Forecasting the future of the 2021 Israel-Palestine Crisis
400 Million Nigerians by 2050? Scottish Indepdence by 2025? North Korea Missile Test by 2022?
Michael Hilliard on Afghanistan, Donbass, Beijing Olympics, and The Red Line Podcast
Will Scotland Hold an Independence Referendum by 2024? Plus EU Borrowing and Yemen Civil War
Tom Liptay and Michael Story on Co-Founding Maby & Forecasting Adoption
✅ How Tom Liptay Beat the Experts in Pandemic Forecasting
Forecasting the Future of the Russo-Ukrainian War, Saudi-Israeli Relations, and JCPOA
Sources of Forecasting Error, Peru's Next President, and War in Donbass
Will Intense Fighting Resume in the Russo-Ukrainian War by October?
Will Conflict Break Out Between Russia and Ukraine?
✅ How David Manheim Forecasted COVID-19 Vaccines
🎣 Recast Edition: 2022 Olympic Boycott, North Korea ICBM Test, COVID-19 Origins
Pavel Atanasov on the Good Judgement Project, Markets vs Polls, and Machine Forecasting
✅ How Peter Wildeford Forecasted the Ever Given Crisis and Profited on Polymarket
China Special: 2022 Olympic Boycott, Closing Uyghur Camps, Next Person on Moon
Regina Joseph and Pavel Atanasov on Human vs Machine Forecasting
How We Planned to Forecast the Suez Canal Crisis
Behind The Scenes of Rootclaim with Founder Saar Wilf
Special Volume: Updating and Reviewing our 15+ Prior Forecasts
US-China Summit, Books on Forecasting and Geopolitics, What’s Next for GG
Predicting the Origins of SARS-CoV-2 and the Future of the Yemen Civil War
AR Global Security on The Future of Statehood and Hybrid Warfare
Will US Troops Stay in Afghanistan + Exit from the Eurozone by 2025?
Metaculus Scoring Drama, Trouble in Myanmar, Discovering Rootclaim
Will North Korea Test an ICBM in 2021? + The Future of Europe's Vaccination Effort
US' Middle East Week, Geopolitical Alpha, Live Metaculus Forecast
Once Wrong, Now Right: Prediction on Niger's Next President
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia Normalize Relations Before 2022? + Starlink and Nuclear Deal
"Quantified forecasting enables me to test whether the way I think about the world is actually accurate."
Iran Deal Likely Dead Until 2022, Major Wars of the 2020s + Virus Variants Revisited
Will COVID Variants Dominate? And the Likelihood of WW3 and Nuclear Warfare
Correct Predictions, Correct Method? COVID Variants Spread Globally and de Sousa Wins in Portugal
President of Portugal Nearly Certain for Re-Election This Week Unless COVID Kills Him. Literally.
A Conversation with Superforecaster Regina Joseph on the Past, Present, and Future of Forecasting
After closer than expected result, Niger heads to second round vote for President
Live Update: Where have the Mutated COVID-19 Variants Spread?
In First Peaceful Transfer of Power, Bazoum is Highly Favored to Become President of Niger
We Examined the U.K.'s Flight Data to Predict Where The Mutant COVID Strain Likely Went
From Predictions to Precepts: Global Guessing's Top 5 Books From 2020
Ghana Election 2020: Violence and Disruption Follows a Close, Contested Vote
In 93,316 out of 100,000 simulations, President Akufo-Addo of Ghana was re-elected in General Election
What happened in Burkina Faso's 2020 General Election
Roch Kabore Predicted to Remain President of Burkina Faso
