Forecasts, analysis, and podcasts by Global Guessing on the Russo-Ukrainian War (2014 - ). We also have other resources, including aggregated crowd predictions form a variety of platforms and curated signals about the conflict.
Volume 17 of Metaculus Mondays: Iran Nuclear Deal; Russo-Ukrainian War; Israel-Gaza Conflict; North Korea ICBM Tests; Xinjiang Camps; and Yemen Civil War.
What can we expect to happen in Afghanistan after the United States withdraws its troops? What is going on in the Donbass? How likely is it that any country boycotts the 2022 Winter Olympics in Beijing?
In Episode 9 of the Global Guessing Weekly we discuss the origins of the Russo-Ukrainian conflict, the recent heightened tensions between the two nations, and where we think the conflict will end up this year.
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