A Year of Global Guessing: The GGWP Finale
In the Weekly Podcast finale, we recount the past year of Global Guessing and go over our exciting plans for 2022 and beyond!
Global Guessing Weekly
The Global Guessing Weekly Podcast (GGWP) covers all things geopolitics and forecasting. Co-founders Clay Graubard and Andrew Eaddy speak with renowned forecasters, professors, investors, and each other, to understand the world and predict what happens in it. Tune in every week for new content.
21 posts
🎙️Manas Chawla on Forecast Accuracy in the Geopolitical Risk Industry
Manas Chawla on founding London Politica and the role of accurate forecasts in the geopolitical risk industry.
🎙️David McCullough on Forecasting Adoption and Question Quality
Superforecaster and Managing Director of Government Operations for Good Judgement Inc. on Forecasting Adoption, Question Quality, and more.
David Manheim on Pandemic Preparedness and Vaccine Challenge Trials
David Manheim on pandemic preparedness, vaccine challenge trials, quantified forecasting in governments, and real-money prediction markets.
John Fowler on International Intrigue and the limits of Forecasting
John Fowler, co-founder and former Diplomat, on founding International Intrigue, the benefits and limitations of Forecasting, and the geopolitics of the East.
Ville Satopää and Marat Salikhov on the BIN Model of Forecasting
In episode 16 of the Global Guessing Weekly Podcast, we discussed the Bias, Information, and Noise Model of Forecasting with Ville Satopää and Marat Salikhov.
🎙️Phillip Orchard on Geopolitical Futures, US-China Competition, and Forecasting Methods
In episode 15 of the Global Guessing Weekly Podcast, we talked with Phillip Orchard, an East Asian analyst at the geopolitical forecasting firm Geopolitical Futures.
Gaia Dempsey on Metaculus, the Future of Forecasting, and Entrepreneurship
In this week's episode of the Global Guessing Weekly Podcast, we sat down with Gaia Dempsey the CEO of Metaculus to discuss the platform, the future of forecasting, and entrepreneurship.
🎙️Forecasting the future of the 2021 Israel-Palestine Crisis
In this special crossover episode of Metaculus Mondays and the Global Guessing Weekly Podcast, we forecast the future of the 2021 Israel-Palestine crisis.
Michael Hilliard on Afghanistan, Donbass, Beijing Olympics, and The Red Line Podcast
What can we expect to happen in Afghanistan after the United States withdraws its troops? What is going on in the Donbass? How likely is it that any country boycotts the 2022 Winter Olympics in Beijing?
🎙️Tom Liptay and Michael Story on Co-Founding Maby & Forecasting Adoption
How do companies and government agencies use forecasting? When will forecasting, as we practice it at Global Guessing, become more common and mainstream?
🎙️Sources of Forecasting Error, Peru's Next President, and War in Donbass
Discussing our recent forecast on war between Russia and Ukraine in Donbass, the BIN Model for forecasting, and our upcoming forecast on Peru's next president.