Public Health and Pandemics
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🎙️ Forecasting the Omicron Variant with Juan Cambeiro
In a special Global Guessing podcast episode, Superforecaster and Metaculus Analyst Juan Cambeiro walks us through his analysis of Omicron and his five relevant forecasts for understanding the variant.…
A Year of Global Guessing: The GGWP Finale
In the Weekly Podcast finale, we recount the past year of Global Guessing and go over our exciting plans for 2022 and beyond!…
Global Guessing Weekly Podcast
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Manas Chawla on Forecast Accuracy in the Geopolitical Risk Industry
Manas Chawla on founding London Politica and the role of accurate forecasts in the geopolitical risk industry.…
Global Guessing Weekly Podcast
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David McCullough on Forecasting Adoption and Question Quality
Superforecaster and Managing Director of Government Operations for Good Judgement Inc. on Forecasting Adoption, Question Quality, and more.…
Global Guessing Weekly Podcast
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David Manheim on Pandemic Preparedness and Vaccine Challenge Trials
David Manheim on pandemic preparedness, vaccine challenge trials, quantified forecasting in governments, and real-money prediction markets.…
Global Guessing Weekly Podcast
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John Fowler on International Intrigue and the limits of Forecasting
John Fowler, co-founder and former Diplomat, on founding International Intrigue, the benefits and limitations of Forecasting, and the geopolitics of the East.…
The Right Side of Maybe
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✅ Juan Cambeiro, the Top Pandemic Forecaster on Good Judgement Open
Juan Cambeiro on best practices, forecasting benefits, and lessons from his predictions on mortgage interest rates, the 2021 Summer Olympics, and US COVID Deaths.…
Global Guessing Weekly Podcast
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Ville Satopää and Marat Salikhov on the BIN Model of Forecasting
In episode 16 of the Global Guessing Weekly Podcast, we discussed the Bias, Information, and Noise Model of Forecasting with Ville Satopää and Marat Salikhov.…
