Prediction

11 posts
Forecasting the Future of the Russo-Ukrainian War, Saudi-Israeli Relations, and JCPOA
Metaculus Mondays
members

Forecasting the Future of the Russo-Ukrainian War, Saudi-Israeli Relations, and JCPOA

Andrew Eaddy
Clay Graubard
Andrew Eaddy, Clay Graubard
China Special: 2022 Olympic Boycott, Closing Uyghur Camps, Next Person on Moon
Metaculus Mondays
members

China Special: 2022 Olympic Boycott, Closing Uyghur Camps, Next Person on Moon

Andrew Eaddy
Clay Graubard
Andrew Eaddy, Clay Graubard
Will US Troops Stay in Afghanistan + Exit from the Eurozone by 2025?
Metaculus Mondays
members

Will US Troops Stay in Afghanistan + Exit from the Eurozone by 2025?

Andrew Eaddy
Clay Graubard
Andrew Eaddy, Clay Graubard
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia Normalize Relations Before 2022? + Starlink and Nuclear Deal
Metaculus Mondays
members

Will Israel and Saudi Arabia Normalize Relations Before 2022? + Starlink and Nuclear Deal

Clay Graubard
Andrew Eaddy
Clay Graubard, Andrew Eaddy
Iran Deal Likely Dead Until 2022, Major Wars of the 2020s + Virus Variants Revisited
Metaculus Mondays
members

Iran Deal Likely Dead Until 2022, Major Wars of the 2020s + Virus Variants Revisited

Andrew Eaddy
Clay Graubard
Andrew Eaddy, Clay Graubard
Will COVID Variants Dominate? And the Likelihood of WW3 and Nuclear Warfare
Metaculus Mondays
members

Will COVID Variants Dominate? And the Likelihood of WW3 and Nuclear Warfare

Andrew Eaddy
Clay Graubard
Andrew Eaddy, Clay Graubard
President of Portugal Nearly Certain for Re-Election This Week Unless COVID Kills Him. Literally.
Elections
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President of Portugal Nearly Certain for Re-Election This Week Unless COVID Kills Him. Literally.

Clay Graubard
Andrew Eaddy
Clay Graubard, Andrew Eaddy
In First Peaceful Transfer of Power, Bazoum is Highly Favored to Become President of Niger
Elections
members

In First Peaceful Transfer of Power, Bazoum is Highly Favored to Become President of Niger

Andrew Eaddy
Clay Graubard
Andrew Eaddy, Clay Graubard
We Examined the U.K.'s Flight Data to Predict Where The Mutant COVID Strain Likely Went
Public Health
members

We Examined the U.K.'s Flight Data to Predict Where The Mutant COVID Strain Likely Went

Andrew Eaddy
Clay Graubard
Andrew Eaddy, Clay Graubard
In 93,316 out of 100,000 simulations, President Akufo-Addo of Ghana was re-elected in General Election
Elections
members

In 93,316 out of 100,000 simulations, President Akufo-Addo of Ghana was re-elected in General Election

Andrew Eaddy
Clay Graubard
Andrew Eaddy, Clay Graubard