✅ Juan Cambeiro, the Top Pandemic Forecaster on Good Judgement Open
Juan Cambeiro on best practices, forecasting benefits, and lessons from his predictions on mortgage interest rates, the 2021 Summer Olympics, and US COVID Deaths.
The Right Side of Maybe
A Global Guessing podcast that interviews prominent forecasters to learn about their path to quantified forecasting and lessons they have learned from their past predictions. In each episode we also dig deeper into a specific prediction that our guest has made, hearing how they approached the question and what their process was, and how they feel about their forecast once it’s resolved.
6 posts
✅ Datscilly, the Top-Ranked Forecaster on Metaculus
Episode 5 of The Right Side of Maybe with Datscilly, the top-ranked forecaster on Metaculus who also placed second in IARPA's Geopolitical Forecasting Challenge 2.
✅ How Superforecaster Carolyn Meinel Predicted the 2001 Code Red Worm Attack
Episode 4 of The Right Side of Maybe with Carolyn Meinel: Code Red Worm forecast and her advice for new and experienced forecasters.
✅ How Tom Liptay Beat the Experts in Pandemic Forecasting
In episode 3 of The Right Side of Maybe, Tom talks about his COVID forecasting competition against experts, plus his recommendations for new forecasters.
✅ How David Manheim Forecasted COVID-19 Vaccines
In Episode 2 of The Right Side of Maybe, we talk with Dr. David Manheim on his forecasting background, his tips for improvement, the concept of minimal valuable forecasts, and a deep dive into his COVID prediction.
✅ How Peter Wildeford Forecasted the Ever Given Crisis and Profited on Polymarket
The inaugural episode of The Right Side of Maybe: A new podcast where we learn from and about elite forecasters. In this episode, we talked to Peter Hurford about his background in forecasting and dove deep into his profitable forecast on the Ever Given crisis.